January 21, 2021

SF and FG could gain seats in Waterford if election was held now, leaked document claims

An internal government document leaked last night shows Fine Gael believe they can regain a seat in Waterford if they were to hold an election again by the end of the summer.

It’s good news for Sinn Féin as well which shows that David Cullinane’s record-breaking poll topping performance in the election which was held in February, would be enough to see him carry a second candidate into the Dáil with him.

The document was leaked onto Twitter last night by the Irish Times deputy political editor Fiach Kelly after it had been doing the rounds on some Fine Gael WhatsApp groups.

The document, which Fiach Kelly stated is not sanctioned by Fine Gael’s leadership, is based on recent polling and nationally shows dramatic increases for both Fine Gael and Sinn Féin. Fianna Fáil would lose seats while the document suggest the Greens and Independents would be decimated.

According to the document, both newly elected TD’s in Waterford, Green Party TD Marc O’Cathasaigh and Independent TD Matt Shanahan would lose their seats.

The spreadsheet suggest that Fine Gael would be the largest party if an election was held before the summer is out. The current government party would take 59 seats (up 24), Sinn Fein would claim 48 seats (up 11), with Fianna Fáil losing 11 seas and dropping back to 27.

The document suggests Independents would lose 60% of their seats, from 20 down to eight, The Green Party would lose 66% of its seats, from 12 to four, while Labour claims five seats (down 1), Social Democrats win four seats (down two), Solidarity / People Before Profit take four seats (down one), while Aontu holds it’s one seat.

Reacting to the election prediction, Waterford’s Sinn Féin David Cullinane was pleased to learn his party is predicted to pick up a second seat locally.

“Some crackers leaking out from the Fine Gael parliamentary meeting tonight.

“Leo Varadkar essentially telling his supporters – an austerity Programme for Government or a second election. And no budging on reducing the pension age to 65.

“On the plus side FG predicts massive seats gains for Sinn Féin with two seats in the Deise,” Deputy Cullinane concluded.


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